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2024-12-13 05:27:11

Societe Generale: The S&P 500 index is expected to fluctuate between 6,500 and 7,500 points next year. Strategists at Societe Generale said that the re-inflation policy proposed by President-elect Trump when he takes office next year may push the S&P 500 index to 6,500 points in April and 7,500 points in 2025, and bond yields are expected to fluctuate greatly.Bonds are almost in a bearish state. Many brokers expect the Bank of China to cut interest rates next year, and the yield of 10-year government bonds may be around 1.8%. According to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, from the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank's interest rate cuts will continue. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. Tan Yiming, a fixed-income analyst at Minsheng Securities, believes that this year's monetary policy framework reform has been promoted, and the 7-day reverse repo rate, as the main policy interest rate, has become the starting point of the interest rate transmission mechanism. It is expected that there will be one or two interest rate cuts in 2025, and the 7-day reverse repo rate will be lowered by about 20 to 40 basis points, and the 10-year government bond yield will be 1.7% to 1.8%.Oracle Bone Inscriptions (ORCL.N) has an adjusted revenue of $14.06 billion in the second quarter, with an expected revenue of $14.12 billion.


The China ETF rose more than 24% when the three indexes of US stocks collectively closed down three times, while the three indexes of US stocks collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.54%, the Nasdaq down 0.62% and the S&P 500 down 0.61%. The Political Bureau of the Central Committee set the tone for economic work in 2025, releasing multiple positive signals. China ETF rose by more than 24% and Nasdaq China Jinlong Index rose by more than 8% when China Stock Exchange went on a collective carnival. The sudden change in the political situation in Syria pushed precious metals, and gold and silver mining stocks rose across the board. Cordelian Mining rose by more than 7% and Pan American Silver rose by more than 5%.Oracle Bone Inscriptions expects adjusted earnings per share to be between $1.50 and $1.54 in the third quarter. The market expects earnings per share to be $1.57.AppLovin closed down nearly 15%, the biggest one-day drop since August 2022.


5 billion square meters of diaphragm has been settled, leading enterprises have accelerated the layout of overseas markets, and the end of the year is approaching, and the lithium battery industry has entered a new round of supply negotiations. The two major battery separator companies, Xingyuan Materials and Enjie, have successively issued announcements recently, and signed large battery separator supply orders with Yiwei Lithium Energy respectively, totaling no less than 5 billion square meters. As one of the upstream materials of lithium battery, in recent years, with the intensive price reduction of the upstream and downstream industrial chains of lithium battery, the diaphragm industry is in a situation of increasing supply and demand, and the pattern of oversupply is difficult to change. Xingyuan Materials has released a new generation of high-safety lithium battery separators, the price of which will be higher than that of conventional coated separators, and Enjie and Xingyuan Materials have also laid out overseas markets with higher gross profit. The industry believes that apart from making profits from technology, it is a general trend for diaphragm enterprises to set up factories close to overseas manufacturers. (Securities Times)Liu Yu, chief economist of Huaxi Securities, said that the bond bull market is expected to continue in the coming year. Although there is a phenomenon of "rushing to run" near the end of the year, it is still necessary to actively allocate cost-effective bond assets.Turkey will reopen the Ya 'Ilada 'e port on the Turkish-Syrian border. On the 9th, Turkish President Erdogan said that his country will reopen the Ya 'Ilada 'e border port in Hatay province in the southeast, which is adjacent to Syria, so as to facilitate Syrian refugees in Turkey to return home.

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